Belief Elicitation: A Horse Race among Truth Serums [Dataset]

DOI

We pit non-incentivized introspection against five revealed preference mechanisms (“truth serums”) in the elicitation of beliefs in a simple two-player game. We measure the additivity, the predictive power for own behaviour, and the accuracy of each method. Beliefs from incentivized methods are better predictors of participants’ own behaviour compared to introspection. However, introspection performs equally well as the truth serums in terms of accuracy and additivity. We also find that correction for risk aversion improves the additivity of scoring-rule belief reports.

3.2.11, 3.2.11

Identifier
DOI https://doi.org/10.11588/DATA/10004
Related Identifier IsSupplementTo https://doi.org/10.1111/ecoj.12160
Metadata Access https://heidata.uni-heidelberg.de/oai?verb=GetRecord&metadataPrefix=oai_datacite&identifier=doi:10.11588/DATA/10004
Provenance
Creator Trautmann, Stefan T.; Kuilen, Gijs van de
Publisher heiDATA
Contributor Trautmann, Stefan T.; Kuilen, Gijs van de; HeiDATA: Heidelberg Research Data Repository
Publication Year 2014
Rights CC BY 4.0; info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess; http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
OpenAccess false
Contact Trautmann, Stefan T. (Alfred-Weber-Institute of Economics, Heidelberg University)
Representation
Resource Type Dataset
Format text/tab-separated-values; application/octet-stream; text/plain; charset=US-ASCII; application/x-gzip; application/pdf; text/x-stata-syntax; charset=US-ASCII; application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet; application/x-stata-syntax
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Version 3.2
Discipline Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Aquaculture; Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Aquaculture and Veterinary Medicine; Economic Theory; Economics; Life Sciences; Social Sciences; Social and Behavioural Sciences; Soil Sciences