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Scaling and measurement error sensitivity of scoring rules for distribution f...
This paper examines the impact of data rescaling and measurement error on scoring rules for distribution forecast. First, I show that all commonly used scoring rules for... -
Belief Elicitation: A Horse Race among Truth Serums [Dataset]
We pit non-incentivized introspection against five revealed preference mechanisms (“truth serums”) in the elicitation of beliefs in a simple two-player game. We measure the...
