Transient fads and the crash of ′87 (replication data)

DOI

Using a fad model with Markov-switching heteroscedasticity in both the fundamental and fad components (UC-MS model), this paper examines the possibility that the 1987 stock market crash was an example of a short-lived fad. While we usually think of fads as speculative bubbles, what the UC-MS model seems to be picking up is unwarranted pessimism which the market exhibited with the OPEC oil shock and the '87 crash. Furthermore, the conditional variance implied by the UC-MS model captures most of the dynamics in the GARCH specification of stock return volatility. Yet unlike the GARCH measure of volatility, the UC-MS measure of volatility is consistent with volatility reverting to its normal level very quickly after the crash.

Identifier
DOI https://doi.org/10.15456/jae.2022313.1132436031
Metadata Access https://www.da-ra.de/oaip/oai?verb=GetRecord&metadataPrefix=oai_dc&identifier=oai:oai.da-ra.de:776444
Provenance
Creator Kim, Chang-Jin; Kim, Myung Jig
Publisher ZBW - Leibniz Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
Publication Year 1996
Rights Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC-BY); Download
OpenAccess true
Contact ZBW - Leibniz Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
Representation
Language English
Resource Type Collection
Discipline Economics