Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Decision‐Based Model Combinations (replication data)

DOI

We propose a density combination approach featuring combination weights that depend on the past forecast performance of the individual models entering the combination through a utility-based objective function. We apply this model combination scheme to forecast stock returns, both at the aggregate level and by industry, and investigate its forecasting performance relative to a host of existing combination methods, both within the class of linear and time-varying coefficients, stochastic volatility models. Overall, we find that our combination scheme produces markedly more accurate predictions than the existing alternatives, both in terms of statistical and economic measures of out-of-sample predictability.

Identifier
DOI https://doi.org/10.15456/jae.2022326.0700147965
Metadata Access https://www.da-ra.de/oaip/oai?verb=GetRecord&metadataPrefix=oai_dc&identifier=oai:oai.da-ra.de:775500
Provenance
Creator Pettenuzzo, Davide; Ravazzolo, Francesco
Publisher ZBW - Leibniz Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
Publication Year 2016
Rights Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC-BY); Download
OpenAccess true
Contact ZBW - Leibniz Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
Representation
Language English
Resource Type Collection
Discipline Economics