Testing the unbiased forward exchange rate hypothesis using a Markov switching model and instrumental variables (replication data)

DOI

This paper develops a model for the forward and spot exchange rate which allows for the presence of a Markov switching risk premium in the forward market and considers the issue of testing the unbiased forward exchange rate (UFER) hypothesis. Using US/UK data, it is shown that the UFER hypothesis cannot be rejected, provided that instrumental variables are used to account for within-regime correlation between explanatory variables and disturbances in the Markov switching model on which the test is based.

Identifier
DOI https://doi.org/10.15456/jae.2022319.0709706152
Metadata Access https://www.da-ra.de/oaip/oai?verb=GetRecord&metadataPrefix=oai_dc&identifier=oai:oai.da-ra.de:776133
Provenance
Creator Spagnolo, Fabio; Psaradakis, Zacharias; Sola, Martin
Publisher ZBW - Leibniz Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
Publication Year 2005
Rights Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC-BY); Download
OpenAccess true
Contact ZBW - Leibniz Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
Representation
Language English
Resource Type Collection
Discipline Economics