Data from: Does “when” really feel more certain than “if”?: two failures to replicate Ballard and Lewandowsky (2015)

We report on two independent failures to replicate findings by Ballard and Lewandowsky (1), who showed that certainty in, and concern about, projected public health issues (e.g., impacts of climate change) depend on how uncertain information is presented. Specifically, compared to a projected range of outcomes (e.g., a global rise in temperature between 1.6 and 2.4 degrees C) by a certain point in time (the year 2065), Ballard and Lewandowsky (1) showed that focusing people on a certain outcome (a global rise in temperature of at least 2 degrees C) by an uncertain time-frame (the years 2054-2083) increases certainty in the outcome, and concern about its implications. Based on two new studies that showed a null effect between the two presentation formats, however, we recommend treating the projection-statements featured in these studies as equivalent, and we encourage investigators to find alternative ways to improve on existing formats to communicate uncertain information about future events.

Identifier
DOI https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.74bf15t
PID https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:nl:ui:13-p2-b8fs
Metadata Access https://easy.dans.knaw.nl/oai?verb=GetRecord&metadataPrefix=oai_datacite&identifier=oai:easy.dans.knaw.nl:easy-dataset:129156
Provenance
Creator Sleeth-Keppler, David; Lewandowsky, Stephan; Ballard, Timothy; Myers, Teresa; Roser-Renouf, Connie; Maibach, Ed
Publisher Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS)
Publication Year 2019
Rights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess; License: http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0; http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0
OpenAccess true
Representation
Resource Type Dataset
Discipline Life Sciences; Medicine